Risk Analysis
With the right analysis of risks and measures, chaos can be avoided and the need for ad-hoc emergency management can be avoided.
We transfer analysis methods that are known, for example, as an instrument of safety engineering in the process, pharmaceutical and petrochemical industries or in the accident commission to new areas such as companies, offices, authorities, events and organizations in order to Vulnerability to identify.
This includes proven methods, such as the HAZOP-procedure (engl. Hazard and Operability; or in German "PAAG") or the Event tree analysis, in the style of the Fault Tree Analysiswhich are particularly standard in the area of critical infrastructure (chemical plants, nuclear power plants, etc.).
Risk analysis: identification and assessment
- Identification of relevant Areas of Risks or unwanted, disturbing, harmful events
- Assessment of the probability of occurrence of these events and the resulting effects (= severity of damage in the event of the occurrence of the event)
- Locate risks and possible errors (HAZOP/PAAG procedure), structured discussion in a multidisciplinary team
- Representation in the form of a Risk Map
Evaluation of the influencing factors
Once the relevant risks have been narrowed down, the influencing factors or possible errors should be identified and analysed for simultaneous interaction - even independently of each other (= event tree analysis based on the Fault Tree Analysis).
What sounds abstract has quite understandable reasons: It is often not the occurrence of a single major factor or error, but the occurrence of a chain of smaller and, in themselves, rather secondary individual errors, omissions or communication breakdowns. Events that together can lead to catastrophic consequences.
Prominent warning examples include the Chernobyl accident, the toxic gas leak in Bhopal, India, the Love Parade disaster in Duisburg, Germany, and the high death rate in northern Italy during the Covid19 pandemic.
Risk Analysis:
Environmental Analysis
- Stakeholder
- Stakeholder
- Affected
– Who is relevant?
– What are the interests
– What does he want? - Other developments & trends
– Society
– Technology
– Politics
– Culture
- Decisions in the background
- Possible alliances against me
- Political influence
- Information campaigns and "fake news
"What is necessary?"
- Cost-benefit
- What suits your own philosophy?
- What suits your own availabilities and capacities?
– Personnel
– Financial
– Temporal
- Which are acceptable and reasonable?
– For profitability?
– For functionality?
– For the population or employees?
– For the environment? - Which are unacceptable and unreasonable?
– Insurances
– Other hedging measures
